Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.626814 3.857699 4.105718 4.393761 4.721443 5.085536 5.524870
2025-05-11 3.344791 3.664714 4.028612 4.479728 5.033789 5.706319 6.608787
2025-05-18 3.087499 3.458681 3.899825 4.476298 5.232418 6.228130 7.715579
2025-05-25 2.822821 3.211818 3.688877 4.337228 5.232436 6.493941 8.570720
2025-06-01 2.642034 3.048186 3.560655 4.283173 5.332038 6.917105 9.827503
2025-06-08 2.498034 2.916702 3.458225 4.247287 5.447618 7.391322 11.408481
2025-06-15 2.396108 2.829953 3.404787 4.270416 5.652747 8.067919 13.837101
2025-06-22 2.270448 2.701744 3.282377 4.176440 5.653536 8.383134 15.726195
2025-06-29 2.143994 2.564156 3.135926 4.029915 5.542593 8.454840 17.066993
2025-07-06 2.049423 2.464425 3.035819 3.944396 5.523572 8.712289 19.345620
2025-07-13 2.025888 2.460678 3.072485 4.076917 5.916897 10.018630 28.381013
2025-07-20 1.990852 2.438041 3.078715 4.159405 6.232908 11.311386 44.134775
2025-07-27 1.959928 2.424814 3.106097 4.296174 6.726678 13.568547 123.209907
2025-08-03 1.911229 2.383193 3.087124 4.351505 7.071808 15.785628 NaN
2025-08-10 1.849965 2.319732 3.029291 4.330063 7.241590 17.630952 NaN
2025-08-17 1.769350 2.223565 2.913091 4.187571 7.087103 17.935040 NaN
2025-08-24 1.711470 2.159014 2.844324 4.129241 7.138016 19.435656 NaN
2025-08-31 1.661820 2.104586 2.788671 4.090594 7.234725 21.469486 NaN
2025-09-07 1.626232 2.069842 2.763174 4.108686 7.495666 25.354926 NaN
2025-09-14 1.574271 2.007648 2.688071 4.018847 7.425942 26.658676 NaN
2025-09-21 1.517205 1.935589 2.593038 3.880778 7.188380 26.112812 NaN
2025-09-28 1.473259 1.882483 2.527889 3.800018 7.113234 27.234206 NaN
2025-10-05 1.465897 1.885898 2.558929 3.922931 7.707748 39.261793 NaN